Phillies at 12% in scientific national poll.

Several weeks ago, Phillies 2008 paid for a national poll. The

 telephone 

survey of 1000 Likely Voters was conducted by Pulse Opinion Research on

November 8 and 11, 2007. Pulse Opinion Research, LLC is an independent 

public opinion research firm using automated polling methodology and 

procedures licensed from Rasmussen Reports, LLC.

We asked about a two-candidate race and a three-candidate race.   To 

simulate voting conditions in November 2008, we supplied each voter

 with 

the candidate's political party and a few of their key campaign 

promises.  For Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani, we took their stands 

from their web sites.  Among other questions, we asked:

1) In thinking about the next Presidential election, suppose you had a 

choice between Republican Rudy Giuliani, who promises to cut taxes and 

win the war on terror and Democrat Hillary Clinton, who promises to 

strengthen the middle class and provide universal health care.  If the 

election were held today would you vote for Republican Rudy Giuliani or

Democrat Hillary Clinton?

2) Okay…suppose you had a choice between Republican Rudy Giuliani, 

Democrat Hillary Clinton and Libertarian George Phillies, who promises 

to end the War in Iraq, secure the borders and restore civil rights.

  If 

the election were held today would you vote for Republican Rudy 

Giuliani, Democrat Hillary Clinton or Libertarian George Phillies?

And the outcomes:

Question 1:

       Giuliani   39%

       Clinton    48%

       Some other candidate 9%

       Not Sure     4%

Question 2:

       Giuliani   34%

       Clinton    41%

       Phillies   12%

       Some other candidate 7%

       Not Sure     6%

Phillies comments on his poll

"That's a polling result unprecedented in the history of Libertarian 

Presidential politics.

I'm polling in two digits.

Why is this happening?  It's obviously not my trillion dollar ad 

campaign.  It's certainly not my handsome looks.  No, it has to be the 

Phillies 2008 issues: end the War in Iraq, secure the borders, and 

restore civil rights.

First, some details from the demographic breakdowns, then what we need 

to do to make this happen.

Demographics:  I get 19% of the 19-29 year old vote. In the race 

breakdown, I get 21% of the black vote and 15% of the 'other' vote. 

Rumors that we are the rich conservative Republican clones are

 rejected: 

  I get 6% of the Republican vote and 10% of the Democratic vote.  I

 get 

10% of liberals and conservatives, and 17% of moderates.  I draw more 

from Clinton that from Giuliani.  And I do best (24% in that group) 

among the poorest (under $20,000 a year).

Twelve per cent? Is that result actually possible next November?

That poll question assumes voters know my name and a few stands. We

 need 

to make that happen.  To make it happen, we need to do two things:  We 

have to get my name out before the voters.  We have to get my issues

 out 

before the voters.  Thanks to the internet, WE CAN DO THIS!  It's not 

free, but it's not impossible any more.

Could another libertarian do the same?  It depends. I'm old enough to 

remember watching on television when President Eisenhower sent the 

Paratroops to Little Rock to desegregate the schools. A libertarian who

talks about "states rights", the imagined right of an individual state 

to take away your rights--like your right to vote when your skin is the

wrong color--is for sure not getting 21% of the black vote. A candidate

who supports torture, and who opposes letting gay couples adopt or 

servicewomen pay for abortions with their own money, is not going to

 get 

young people, not once his opponents start talking about his issues.

This poll shows that my campaign's message resonates with the voters. 

Can the other candidates make that claim?